
A New York Times article released today titled “G.O.P. Targets a Medicaid Loophole Used by 49 States to Grab Federal Money” features Hilltop’s analysis of the potential impact of eliminating the 6% Medicaid provider tax safe harbor threshold. Hilltop Director of Analytics & Research Dr. Morgan Henderson, Senior Data Scientist Dr. Leigh Goetschius, and Interim Executive Director Alice Middleton use provider tax rates and net patient revenue data and find that eliminating the 6% provider tax threshold for hospitals and nursing facilities would put $83.7 billion of federal Medicaid funding at risk. Crucially, this would not impact states equally, and would potentially jeopardize over 30% of total Medicaid federal funding for certain states (Mississippi, South Carolina, Utah, Alabama, New Hampshire, Tennessee, and Iowa). This is the latest in a series of Hilltop analyses focused on modeling state-level impacts of potential federal Medicaid policy changes; click here for other analysis on work requirements and FMAP floor changes.
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